2024 Major League Baseball Win Probability

Other Leagues: AL, NL

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Team Win Probability*

Team Win Probability* Table
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo
Arizona Diamondbacks	4.59	-2.9	-0.1	1593	0.3	29.1	-28.8	1.06	0.9	-0.6	-0.1%	15.4%	-15.5%	.94	-0.6%	9.5	1.2	0.94	14.5	49	25	59
Atlanta Braves	3.73	28.7	3.2	1408	4.7	27.1	-22.4	1.06	5.3	-0.8	3.2%	18.6%	-15.4%	1.21	-0.5%	42.9	4.7	0.92	57.5	43	26	47
Baltimore Orioles	3.82	16.0	1.8	1499	4.7	28.5	-23.8	1.06	3.8	0.7	3.5%	19.1%	-15.6%	1.17	0.6%	37.1	4.2	0.90	38.2	50	33	55
Boston Red Sox	3.48	48.3	5.3	1519	4.1	27.8	-23.6	1.04	5.1	-1.2	2.2%	16.3%	-14.1%	1.02	-0.9%	51.4	5.5	0.91	60.6	47	37	43
Chicago Cubs	4.32	14.0	2.2	1618	3.2	32.2	-29.0	1.14	3.2	-0.3	2.1%	21.0%	-18.9%	1.24	-0.2%	18.6	2.7	0.95	27.2	57	26	52
Chicago White Sox	5.10	-22.7	-2.1	1622	-1.6	27.7	-29.3	1.01	-1.8	0.3	-0.4%	5.9%	-6.3%	.36	-0.1%	-22.3	-2.0	0.94	-22.5	55	36	54
Cincinnati Reds	4.40	9.2	1.0	1572	0.5	24.1	-23.6	.91	0.7	-0.2	0.2%	13.2%	-13.0%	.83	-0.2%	12.1	1.3	0.94	12.5	38	31	56
Cleveland Guardians	3.73	21.5	2.5	1605	3.6	30.4	-26.8	1.05	3.0	0.4	2.5%	21.4%	-18.9%	1.24	0.3%	38.5	4.4	0.94	35.6	61	32	61
Colorado Rockies	5.50	-18.2	-1.5	1607	-3.2	23.5	-26.7	.90	-1.4	-2.2	-1.5%	6.4%	-7.9%	.42	-3.0%	-22.4	-1.7	0.95	-8.0	35	24	56
Detroit Tigers	3.98	22.8	2.5	1523	2.5	29.4	-26.8	1.08	3.8	-1.5	1.6%	18.5%	-16.9%	1.14	-0.9%	29.9	3.3	0.93	44.3	55	26	39
Houston Astros	5.15	-39.0	-3.4	1616	-1.4	25.9	-27.3	.95	-2.0	0.6	-0.7%	9.4%	-10.2%	.58	-0.1%	-21.8	-1.6	0.98	-20.5	37	31	64
Kansas City Royals	3.45	32.6	3.7	1581	5.1	29.8	-24.6	1.04	4.1	0.8	3.2%	18.9%	-15.7%	1.10	0.5%	46.1	5.2	0.95	47.5	48	32	48
Los Angeles Angels	5.05	-19.4	-1.8	1613	-1.7	23.1	-24.8	.83	-0.3	-1.8	-0.9%	10.7%	-11.6%	.64	-1.1%	-15.4	-1.3	0.93	-0.5	26	24	74
Los Angeles Dodgers	3.48	41.4	4.4	1590	4.7	26.2	-21.5	.92	6.0	-0.8	3.3%	18.3%	-15.0%	1.06	-0.5%	57.6	6.2	0.90	66.0	39	37	55
Miami Marlins	5.81	-40.5	-3.5	1732	-4.3	26.1	-30.3	.95	-1.6	-3.0	-1.2%	6.6%	-7.8%	.40	-1.9%	-41.8	-3.4	0.98	-22.6	39	33	70
Milwaukee Brewers	4.20	8.9	1.2	1573	3.3	27.5	-24.2	1.01	1.5	1.7	2.3%	19.0%	-16.7%	1.16	1.1%	19.0	2.4	0.96	13.7	45	32	54
Minnesota Twins	4.20	2.0	0.4	1535	2.5	26.4	-23.9	.98	2.9	-0.3	1.4%	14.8%	-13.4%	.91	-0.2%	17.6	2.1	0.92	31.4	49	32	47
New York Mets	4.28	5.0	0.8	1580	2.3	29.9	-27.6	1.13	1.9	0.1	1.1%	15.9%	-14.8%	1.00	0.0%	19.7	2.4	0.99	24.1	58	27	47
New York Yankees	3.52	36.1	3.8	1627	5.9	32.2	-26.2	1.12	3.2	2.1	4.1%	22.6%	-18.5%	1.30	1.2%	48.0	5.1	0.96	33.6	52	27	48
Oakland Athletics	4.74	-17.9	-1.6	1653	1.0	26.1	-25.1	.90	-1.0	2.1	0.0%	12.1%	-12.1%	.70	0.6%	-15.5	-1.3	0.98	-14.8	38	31	58
Philadelphia Phillies	3.68	31.3	3.6	1575	5.4	28.0	-22.6	.99	5.0	0.5	3.3%	17.5%	-14.2%	1.04	0.2%	42.0	4.9	0.93	55.1	48	23	52
Pittsburgh Pirates	4.32	7.5	0.9	1608	1.7	29.7	-28.0	1.08	1.2	0.4	0.9%	17.1%	-16.3%	1.04	0.1%	16.9	1.9	0.95	19.6	55	29	46
San Diego Padres	4.37	-3.1	0.0	1652	0.3	25.9	-25.6	.91	1.6	-1.3	0.1%	15.0%	-14.9%	.88	-0.9%	10.6	1.4	0.93	19.1	39	36	68
Seattle Mariners	3.66	17.8	2.0	1515	2.6	24.0	-21.4	.90	4.1	-1.3	1.3%	13.9%	-12.6%	.87	-0.9%	32.8	3.7	0.89	43.4	33	25	65
San Francisco Giants	4.71	-22.5	-1.7	1643	1.7	25.3	-23.6	.91	0.7	1.1	0.6%	12.7%	-12.1%	.76	0.4%	-6.6	0.0	0.95	1.3	31	35	70
St. Louis Cardinals	4.67	-6.6	-0.4	1538	0.3	26.5	-26.2	.99	0.6	-0.3	0.1%	12.9%	-12.8%	.80	-0.3%	0.3	0.3	0.95	8.5	36	41	47
Tampa Bay Rays	4.85	-22.8	-2.1	1635	0.6	28.0	-27.4	1.02	0.2	0.4	0.2%	14.4%	-14.2%	.87	0.1%	-5.3	-0.3	0.93	-0.6	52	30	46
Texas Rangers	4.40	-2.8	0.1	1614	2.8	29.0	-26.2	1.03	3.5	-0.8	1.5%	18.2%	-16.7%	1.08	-0.7%	10.1	1.7	0.93	34.0	52	25	45
Toronto Blue Jays	4.85	-24.0	-2.2	1541	0.2	23.5	-23.3	.86	-1.6	1.9	0.2%	12.5%	-12.3%	.77	1.1%	-18.1	-1.4	0.95	-21.7	22	41	69
Washington Nationals	4.28	5.0	0.9	1543	1.2	27.2	-26.1	1.01	1.2	-0.1	0.3%	13.8%	-13.5%	.86	-0.4%	15.4	2.0	0.96	14.8	46	38	59
League Average	4.35	4	1	1584	2	27	-26	.99	2	-0	1%	15%	-14%	.91	0%	14	2	0	20	44	31	55
	4.35	105.6	20.0	47530	53.2	820.1	-767.0	.99	53.9	-0.4	34.4%	452.2%	-417.9%	.91	5.6%	406.8	53.8	0.94	591.3	1335	925	1654
Tm	RA/G	PtchR	PtchW	Plays	WPA	WPA+	WPA-	aLI	WPA/LI	Clutch	cWPA	cWPA+	cWPA-	acLI	cClutch	RE24	REW	boLI	RE24/boLI	LevHi	LevMd	LevLo